Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.000734 0.000786 0.000841 0.000901 0.000966 0.001034 0.001110
2025-11-23 0.000663 0.000737 0.000818 0.000911 0.001015 0.001129 0.001262
2025-11-30 0.000605 0.000694 0.000793 0.000911 0.001049 0.001204 0.001392
2025-12-07 0.000559 0.000658 0.000772 0.000911 0.001077 0.001271 0.001514
2025-12-14 0.000516 0.000621 0.000745 0.000900 0.001090 0.001317 0.001609
2025-12-21 0.000480 0.000590 0.000721 0.000889 0.001100 0.001359 0.001699
2025-12-28 0.000439 0.000549 0.000683 0.000858 0.001082 0.001362 0.001740
2026-01-04 0.000409 0.000520 0.000657 0.000840 0.001079 0.001383 0.001801
2026-01-11 0.000390 0.000503 0.000645 0.000838 0.001096 0.001428 0.001896
2026-01-18 0.000374 0.000489 0.000637 0.000840 0.001115 0.001478 0.001997
2026-01-25 0.000358 0.000475 0.000626 0.000839 0.001130 0.001522 0.002091
2026-02-01 0.000339 0.000455 0.000608 0.000825 0.001128 0.001540 0.002150
2026-02-08 0.000322 0.000438 0.000594 0.000818 0.001136 0.001577 0.002241
2026-02-15 0.000309 0.000427 0.000586 0.000820 0.001157 0.001632 0.002362
2026-02-22 0.000296 0.000414 0.000576 0.000817 0.001171 0.001678 0.002471
2026-03-01 0.000284 0.000402 0.000567 0.000815 0.001186 0.001726 0.002584
2026-03-08 0.000270 0.000387 0.000552 0.000805 0.001187 0.001752 0.002666
2026-03-15 0.000257 0.000373 0.000538 0.000795 0.001189 0.001779 0.002749
2026-03-22 0.000240 0.000352 0.000514 0.000767 0.001161 0.001760 0.002759
2026-03-29 0.000228 0.000337 0.000497 0.000752 0.001151 0.001768 0.002810
2026-04-05 0.000220 0.000329 0.000491 0.000750 0.001164 0.001810 0.002920
2026-04-12 0.000214 0.000323 0.000486 0.000752 0.001180 0.001860 0.003043
2026-04-19 0.000207 0.000316 0.000480 0.000750 0.001192 0.001902 0.003157